Where are we in the 18.6 -year economic cycle and how does it affect your investing? In this episode, I sit down with Jarryd Greitschus to talk about the Phil Anderson 18.6-year economic cycle and address some of the myths surrounding the property market. We discuss the four stages of the economic cycle and how it applies to the context of the Australian housing market. Jarryd also provides insight into where we currently are in the market cycle, how the cycle has changed over time, and how this cycle should be used in your property investment research and education.
Discussion Points:
00:00 Introduction
2:35: The 18.6-year economic cycle
8:44: The four stages of the cycle
18:09: The economic cycle in the Australian context
23:00: The Australian housing cycle
28:01: Affordability not the key factor of house prices?
33:43: Has the cycle changed?
36:26: Timing the top of the market
40:23: Considering the macro, meso, and micro
43:47: Conclusion
About The Host:
Subscribe to Aus Property Mastery with PK for no fluff, “straight to the point” property investing strategies and data driven insights about the Australian housing market - the only property podcast not run by a “Buyers Agent”. You can listen to Aus Property Mastery on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Podcasts, & Stitcher.
PK Gupta is the founder of the Property Investment Accelerator — Australia’s #1 real estate course that helps people achieve passive income through property investing using DATA, WITHOUT wasting months doing "research", spending weekends at inspections OR dropping $10-20k on Buyers Agents each time.
Resources:
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