FiveThirtyEight Politics

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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Don't Pay Attention To That Outlier Poll You Saw

The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats...

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How Likely Is Another Civil War?

In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly...

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How The 2022 Midterms Might Play Out

The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history...

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Why Jan. 6th Was Not A Turning Point

In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that...

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What Americans Thought About COVID, Inflation And Britney Spears In 2021

The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural...

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Why Manchin Is A 'No' On Build Back Better

President Biden’s $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most...

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How Much Have Hispanic Voters Shifted Toward The GOP?

According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly...

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Is The Media Tougher On Biden Than Trump?

Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it...

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Why Stacey Abrams And Beto O’Rourke Are Going For It In 2022

On today’s Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. So, the...

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What SCOTUS — And Americans — Think About Overturning Roe

The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the...

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About Those 2024 Polls ...

The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024.

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What The Two Parties Should Be Thankful For

The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate...

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What 44 Days In Las Vegas Taught Nate Silver

Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he...

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The Pollster Who Wants To Quit Horse-Race Polling

We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who...

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This Is What Will Determine The Future Of Climate Change

On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually...

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Which Election Day Hot Takes Do You Buy?

Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in...

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A Good Election Night For Republicans

In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into...

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Election Day 2021: Virginia And Beyond

The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and...

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Brad Raffensperger On The 2020 Election And Beyond

We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia...

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What Are The Most Popular Parts Of The Democrats’ Spending Bill?

The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day,...

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